I just wanted to post a great article on the Iran situation.
Personally, I see this situation as a repeat of the 1981 Osirak incident. Back then, the world was in "negotiations" with Saddam as he continued his nuclear programs. Israel waited until about one week before Saddam was going to go nuclear. He wasn't one week away from bombs, but in another week the plant would have been at the stage that an attack would have left nuclear fallout that would have done a lot of damage to the local cities. So, when the world ran out of time, the Israelis moved in and took out the plant with an aerial bombardment. Saddam's nuclear plants were wiped out. In the immediate aftermath, the entire world obviously attacked Israel for their "imperialist" actions, including the US. But years later when it was discovered how close Saddam really was, many countries (including many US leaders) apologized for condemning the attacks.
I had thought that Iran would be similar, where the world will prefer to let Israel do the attack. That way they can act all high-and-mighty and condemn the attack, but they won't have to deal with a nuclear Iran. However, Iran has reportedly done a good job of spreading out its program over dozens of sites, many of which are far underground. I wonder if an attack will even be completely successful.
If there will be an attack it will probably be in late March. Iran will probably be ready to go nuclear by the spring/summer. And with Benjamin Netanyahu calling for an attack on Iran, and an election coming up in late March, I would expect Ariel Sharon to call for the attack just to defend himself against attacks from the right.
Personally, I feel bad for Iranians. Me an my girlfriend (who is Iranian) both recognize that the Iranians don't want this. They didn't vote for Ahmadinajed as their President - the Ayatollah fixed the election. Most Iranians oppose the religious fundamentalists, and don't want to get involved in a war. I'm sure Israel will do whatever it can to minimize casualties, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Ahmadinajed to do what Saddam did in early 2003 - which was to put a lot of schools and other residential structures near his WMD and weapons plants, so that bombing raids would kill as many innocent people as possible.